Childers’ success partly depends on home region

From the Daily Journal, Bobby Harrison argues that Travis Childers (D) could succeed in winning the U.S. Senate seat in the fall elections–it all depends upon turnout from his home region of Northeast Mississippi.

Harrison derives his opinion from the success of Attorney General Jim Hood, Mississippi’s only statewide-elected Democrat, has experienced.  Hood hasn’t just won the AG seat, he has dominated it with margins of victory just as large as Republicans in statewide elections.

Siting geographical and party biases, Harrison states, “Democrats have a built-in base in the state.  An example of that can be found in the 2008 general election when little-known state Rep. Erik Fleming received 39 percent of the vote with literally no money to spend on the race against the highly popular Cochran.”

Despite all the suppositions and theories, ultimately Harrison concedes, “. . . Childers’ task is not impossible–just highly unlikely.”

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